Sunday, September 20, 2009

In the next couple of centuries,do you think computers are gonna think for themselves ?

basicaly in the next couple of hundread years,how many of you,think that computer technoligy is gonna become so advanced ,the computers are gonna start thinking for themselves,and becoming independent machines,having there own brain ,having there own fellings and so on ?



In the next couple of centuries,do you think computers are gonna think for themselves ?virus protection



It is almost impossible to predict two centuries ahead at this point with any accuracy whatsoever.



Consider that in 1807 (two centuries ago), the steam engine was unheard of by the majority of the world's population, and medical science still had little clue of the concept of sterilization. Nobody in 1807 could have come even CLOSE to where we are today. Nobody in 1907, not even Jules Verne, could have predicted what we have in 2007. Hell, in 1985 I was completely wrong about 2007.



Is it likely, though, in my opinion for computers to have developed true AI by 2007? I think that they will have the semblance of it. Perhaps they'll be able to hold conversations with people and APPEAR intelligent. They'll also be able to come out with brilliant flashes of insight that can only come from massive calculation.



But ultimately, they won't be truly intelligent, or self aware in any sense that we could understand. Any feelings would simply be simulated, just like the feelings of a character in a video game today. Our interactions will, however, probably treat many of those computers as true individuals. That is because we are egocentric. We have no awareness of anybody outside ourself, so our awareness of a computer and a human soul offer the same level of insight into the inside for both - absolutely none. Thus we can transfer our feelings of life, emotion, and consciousness onto both human and computer alike, when our observations show them to be the same - whether they are truly the same or not.



There - have I muddied the waters any?

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